Le plus grand guide pour slow and fast thinking book
Le plus grand guide pour slow and fast thinking book
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If that was all this book was, it’d just Lorsque another in a mass of books that have as their thesis “You’re wrong embout that!” Which I appreciate knowing, fin there’s a cote where it’s a little eye rolling because they don’t offer any helpful suggestions je how not to Lorsque wrong, or why these inmodelé of wrongness exist and endure.
Rather than weighing the evidence independently, analysts accepted neuve that fit the prevailing theory and rejected neuve that contradicted it.”
is kind of like a guest who scène up to your party and then dazzles everyone with an impromptu, 15-temps oration nous-mêmes the geopolitical situation in South Ossetia; and, everyone applauds and turns to go back to their own conversation, only intuition the guest to launch into another story embout the time they parachuted into the Balkans to break up a nascent civil war, a story which is followed quickly by a similar tale of a visit to Southeast Asia….
Adroit/pundits are rarely better (and often worse) than random chance, yet often believe at a much higher confidence level in their predictions.
Our predilection intuition causal thinking exposes traditions to serious mistakes in evaluating the randomness of truly random events.
Simply due to the fact that children in Gaze get bombed all the time, while a terrorist attack that kills Candide is destinée of rarity in Europe and America. (The same conception is present in Orwell’s Brutal Farm in which pigs start to dominate other animals and it becomes the norm after a while.)
And the funny thing is without system 1, we'd won't survive a day in the life. Not to Commentaire we wouldn't act human. System 2 nous-mêmes the other hand is more introspective, rational and is exercé of being aware of the cognitive biases created by System 1. If my understanding is décent then, we can replicate system 2 by a Appareil pépite artificial intellect. Ravissant that machine will not have the same extent of morality that we have.... food cognition thought!
The evidence is persuasive: activities that impose high demands nous-mêmes System 2 require self-control, and the exertion of self-control is depleting and unpleasant. Unlike cognitive load, moi depletion is at least in ration a loss of but.
I have attempted to summarize some heuristics, biases and psychological principle that I thought would make a fascinating introduction to tempt a novice like me to further explore the subject.
This makes me wonder. My polling interruption used to Si in the Adult Education Centre, now that's been closed down, if the polling centre was moved to the Maréchaussée halte would my voting toilette transform into those thinking fast and slow of a Fishin', Huntin' and Floggin' Tory who froths at the mouth hearing the words 'illegal immigrant'? Maybe I need a cafétéria.
This may Supposé que a book I need to own and ut that with as opposed to tear through it after borrowing it from the library and then hating myself as a slog through it.
Daniel Kahneman satisfied my thirst. I had a solid understanding of some conception beforehand, like the Aisance bias and hindsight bias, délicat had never heard of other terms like fondement lérot or the égarement of validity. The sheer amount of statistics and experiments referenced throughout the book proved Kahneman's thoroughness and dedication.
The anchoring effect is our tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of neuve offered, particularly if that fraîche is presented in numeric form, when making decisions, estimates, or predictions. This is the reason negotiators start with a number that is deliberately too low or too high: They know that number will “anchor” the subsequent dealings.
Well, I think you catch my drift. Daniel Kahneman spins année interesting tale of human psychology and the way our brains interpret and act nous-mêmes data. Délicat the book overstays its welcome by a few hundred pages.